The best strategy on @polymarket (based on my observations) most people don’t understand how markets actually work every market has an additional description of the resolution logic, which almost no one reads as a result, a market can resolve against you, even if you predicted the event correctly that’s why I trade markets short-term, based on the expectations of other traders it sounds simple, but in reality it’s hard, so I’ll explain it as simply as possible ⬇️ 1. Polymarket is not betting, it’s a market of other traders’ expectations in practice, the price is not based on the real probability of an event, but on the crowd’s consensus at a given moment the crowd is constantly wrong, which is why on any news people overheat the price and trade emotions instead of market logic if you don’t give in to emotions, you can trade these emotionally driven price moves by understanding the real risk of each possible outcome 2. The biggest risk is waiting until the end the closer the market gets to resolution, the higher the risk, because you can’t exit with a stop loss there can also be situations with ambiguous interpretations, unreliable sources, etc. in practice, all controversial cases tend to remain unresolved, especially when the market conditions are complex 3. What’s my strategy? ...