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Jed Kolko
Ikke kom med spådommer som kan forfalskes i løpet av uker!
1. okt. 2025
Anyway, lessons learned:
-Be more skeptical about applying normal relationships to extraordinary times
-Be more skeptical of intuitive/appealing conclusions
-Confidence often doesn't tell you what you think it does
-Don't make predictions that can be falsified within weeks
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